Ogre United 1-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

Ogre United
1-1 HT 1-1
Super Nova
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Ogre United vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 70%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.03/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.68
+115% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +53%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United and Super Nova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Super Nova at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Ogre United 1-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 17%, draw 24%, Super Nova 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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