Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 48%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+110% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
12.11.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
19.08.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
11.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 4-0 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
19.04.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
23.10.2022 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
3-3
AWAY FK Panevezys
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai and FK Panevezys shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 46% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 54%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.67 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 25%, draw 31%, FK Panevezys 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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