Selangor FA 4-1 Pulau Pinang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Selangor FA EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.37/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.68
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Selangor FA
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Pulau Pinang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.07.2023 Selangor FA Selangor FA 3-0 HT 1-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
12.03.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-2 HT 0-1 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
15.10.2022 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-1 HT 1-1 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
31.07.2021 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-4 HT 1-1 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
20.03.2021 Selangor FA Selangor FA 0-2 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
POST-MATCH Selangor FA vs Pulau Pinang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Selangor FA ran out comfortable winners over Pulau Pinang 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Selangor FA as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Selangor FA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Selangor FA and 1.00 for Pulau Pinang.

What was the final score of Selangor FA vs Pulau Pinang?

Selangor FA 4-1 Pulau Pinang in the Malaysia - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Selangor FA vs Pulau Pinang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Selangor FA win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Selangor FA 59%, draw 20%, Pulau Pinang 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Selangor FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Selangor FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MALES More Malaysia - Super League
27 Jul 2024
16:00 Kuala Lumpur FA vs Pahang Analysis →