Melbourne City II 2-1 Bentleigh Greens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.7pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne City II vs Bentleigh Greens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II edged past Bentleigh Greens 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Melbourne City II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Melbourne City II vs Bentleigh Greens?

Melbourne City II 2-1 Bentleigh Greens in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City II vs Bentleigh Greens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City II 38%, draw 34%, Bentleigh Greens 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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