CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.97/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-31% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buzau squeezed past CSMS Iaşi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSMS Iaşi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Buzau?

CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSMS Iaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 45%, draw 29%, Buzau 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
27 Jul 2024
22:00 Sepsi vs Dinamo Bucarest Analysis →