Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 24%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.17
-36% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
23.3 Crosses 16.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.83 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
258 Passes 338
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.30 xG 1.08
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
530 Passes 193
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo and Napredak Krusevac couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 69% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 31%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.30 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 0.50 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 52%, draw 24%, Napredak Krusevac 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ BTTS No
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