Malzenice 2-1 Humenne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+11.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malzenice EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Humenne EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.78/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.71
-45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malzenice
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Humenne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Malzenice Malzenice 1-1 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
14.10.2023 Humenne 2-1 HT 1-0 Malzenice Malzenice SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malzenice
2-1
AWAY Humenne
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malzenice vs Humenne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malzenice squeezed past Humenne 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malzenice as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Malzenice had 40% of the ball to Humenne's 60%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Humenne led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malzenice and 1.50 for Humenne.

What was the final score of Malzenice vs Humenne?

Malzenice 2-1 Humenne in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malzenice vs Humenne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malzenice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Malzenice 44%, draw 26%, Humenne 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malzenice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malzenice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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