İspanya U19 (K) 2-1 Hollanda U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U19 (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hollanda U19 (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
310 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.07.2024 Hollanda U19 (K) Hollanda U19 (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 İspanya U19 (K) İspanya U19 (K) U19K
27.07.2023 Hollanda U19 (K) Hollanda U19 (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İspanya U19 (K) İspanya U19 (K) U19K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U19 (K)
2-1
AWAY Hollanda U19 (K)
0.88 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
456 Passes 550
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
31 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH İspanya U19 (K) vs Hollanda U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U19 (K) edged past Hollanda U19 (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İspanya U19 (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İspanya U19 (K) had 47% of the ball to Hollanda U19 (K)'s 53%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.88 to 2.08 — on chances, Hollanda U19 (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İspanya U19 (K) and 0.50 for Hollanda U19 (K).

What was the final score of İspanya U19 (K) vs Hollanda U19 (K)?

İspanya U19 (K) 2-1 Hollanda U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U19 (K) vs Hollanda U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İspanya U19 (K) 45%, draw 27%, Hollanda U19 (K) 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U19 (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U19 (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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