Incheon United 4-2 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 15%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.12/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
20.7 Crosses 11.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
458 Passes 359
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
4-2
AWAY Ansan Greeners
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
545 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Ansan Greeners 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 68% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 32%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Ansan Greeners?

Incheon United 4-2 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 48%, draw 29%, Ansan Greeners 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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