Municipal vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Aurora — Team-Based Signals
Municipal 2-1 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal nicked a narrow win over Aurora 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Municipal had 57% of the ball to Aurora's 43%, shots finished 12-2.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Aurora?
Municipal 2-1 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Aurora?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Municipal 60%, draw 19%, Aurora 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.