Spartak Trnava 3-0 Ruzomberok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
-29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
24.8 Crosses 18.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ruzomberok
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
07.12.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
01.09.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-2 HT 2-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
04.05.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
01.05.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
06.04.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 2-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
3-0
AWAY Ruzomberok
2.14 xG 0.37
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 130
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
59 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Ruzomberok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava swept aside Ruzomberok 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 66% of the ball to Ruzomberok's 34%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.14 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.83 for Ruzomberok.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Ruzomberok?

Spartak Trnava 3-0 Ruzomberok in the Slovakia Super League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Ruzomberok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 43%, draw 26%, Ruzomberok 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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