Indy Eleven 2-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
398 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
08.10.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
09.07.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
02.10.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-4 HT 1-2 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
21.08.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
24.10.2021 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven squeezed past FC Tulsa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.33 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa?

Indy Eleven 2-1 FC Tulsa in the USLKP on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 40%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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