Arabi 1-2 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 27 Aug 2024

Arabi
1-2 HT 0-0
Abha
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+52% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
1-2
AWAY Abha
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha edged past Arabi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arabi had 48% of the ball to Abha's 52%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Abha?

Arabi 1-2 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arabi 48%, draw 28%, Abha 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5
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