Academico Viseu U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
22.08.2023 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-1 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu U23
1-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 squeezed past Academico Viseu U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Academico Viseu U23 had 66% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 34%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Academico Viseu U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu U23 38%, draw 24%, Gil Vicente U23 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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