Valur (K) 1-3 Sporting Braga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.19
Away Pick
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sporting Braga (K) win — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur (K)
1-3
AWAY Sporting Braga (K)
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valur (K) vs Sporting Braga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga (K) saw off Valur (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valur (K) had 35% of the ball to Sporting Braga (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Valur (K) vs Sporting Braga (K)?

Valur (K) 1-3 Sporting Braga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur (K) vs Sporting Braga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valur (K) 29%, draw 20%, Sporting Braga (K) 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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