Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 27 Aug 2025

Wehen Wiesbaden
2-3 HT 0-1
Bayern Münih
📅27/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
9.57
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
79%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
1.0
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.4
No
46%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
18.2
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
35%
3.54
4-5 Goals
29%
2.28
6+ Goals
22%
2.08
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.54 — our 35% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
34.5
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
3%
34.5
X/2
13%
4.64
X/X
4%
29.0
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
56%
2/X
3%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
10%
-0.7pp
11%
Draw
11%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
38%
+16.5pp
46%
BTTS No
62%
-16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 97%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
0.96/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/0.79
+55% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
203 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 594 · 88%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.3
16.1 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.8

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2-3
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.13 xG 3.87
21% Ball Possession 79%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 7
185 Passes 847
76% Pass Accuracy 94%
5 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih squeezed past Wehen Wiesbaden 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 21% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 79%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 1.13 to 3.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih?

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - DFB Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 10%, draw 11%, Bayern Münih 79%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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