Real Cartagena 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Cartagena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.70/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.78
-45% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Cartagena
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.08.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 3-1 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena KOLK
POST-MATCH Real Cartagena vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Cartagena squeezed past Millonarios 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Real Cartagena made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Cartagena vs Millonarios?

Real Cartagena 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Cartagena vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Cartagena 35%, draw 31%, Millonarios 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Cartagena), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Cartagena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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