Arendal 2-3 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 48%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
-100% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Egersunds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Arendal Arendal 1-1 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
07.05.2023 Egersunds Egersunds 3-3 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
15.10.2022 Arendal Arendal 1-0 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
18.04.2022 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
14.11.2021 Arendal Arendal 5-2 HT 3-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
21.07.2021 Egersunds Egersunds 3-0 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds edged past Arendal 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Egersunds as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arendal and 1.83 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Egersunds?

Arendal 2-3 Egersunds in the Norway - NM Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arendal 26%, draw 24%, Egersunds 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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