Plymouth Argyle 3-1 Luton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Sep 2024

Plymouth Argyle
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Luton Town
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
49%
1.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.11
Over
57%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.46
2-3
45%
1.89
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
8%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.33
1/2
4%
22.3
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
9%
7.96
X/2
16%
4.67
X/X
14%
5.33
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.52
2/X
6%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Luton Town — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Plymouth Argyle The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Luton Town The Market 52%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.44 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
1.56 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.80
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2

Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luton Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.03.2019 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-0 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İN1
17.11.2018 Luton Town Luton Town 5-1 HT 4-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
25.02.2017 Luton Town Luton Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
06.08.2016 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İN2
19.03.2016 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Luton Town Luton Town İN2
24.10.2015 Luton Town Luton Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2

Plymouth Argyle 3-1 Luton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
3 - 1
AWAY Luton Town
1.67 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 15
354 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Plymouth Argyle put daylight between themselves and Luton Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

A gentle 49% lean on Luton Town didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Plymouth Argyle's favour, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.67 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Plymouth Argyle against 1.83 for Luton Town.

Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town Result & Final Score

Plymouth Argyle 3 - 1 Luton Town in the England - Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Luton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 25%, draw 26%, Luton Town 49%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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