Valladolid 1-2 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Sep 2024

Valladolid
1-2 HT 0-0
Mallorca
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.44
Over
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
37%
1.98
2-3
37%
1.85
4-5
18%
6.74
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
16%
5.79
X/2
10%
4.72
X/X
16%
3.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.73
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.22/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.83
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.1 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6

Valladolid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.04.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 3-3 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
07.01.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
01.02.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
03.11.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 3-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
05.12.2018 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İSPK
31.10.2018 Mallorca Mallorca 1-2 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İSPK

Valladolid 1-2 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-2
AWAY Mallorca
1.24 xG 2.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
331 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca edged past Valladolid 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valladolid had 50% of the ball to Mallorca's 50%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.24 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Mallorca?

Valladolid 1-2 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 36%, draw 31%, Mallorca 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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