Albacete 2-5 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2024

Albacete
2-5 HT 1-2
Deportivo La Coruna
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Albacete vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.01
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
15%
4.87
X/2
10%
6.85
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
9%
4.9
2/X
10%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.56/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.53
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.2 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Albacete vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.06.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS3
26.01.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
07.09.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.01.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
17.08.2018 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
13.03.2005 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1

Albacete 2-5 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-5
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
2.26 xG 2.64
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
418 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 20
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna cruised past Albacete 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albacete had 59% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 41%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.26 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Albacete and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Albacete 2-5 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Albacete 45%, draw 29%, Deportivo La Coruna 26%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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