Milan U20 1-1 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 15%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.99
+69% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
1-1
AWAY Cesena U20
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 and Cesena U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan U20 had 60% of the ball to Cesena U20's 40%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Cesena U20?

Milan U20 1-1 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 54%, draw 23%, Cesena U20 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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