Kolding IF 1-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
16%
6.86
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
10%
8.75
X/2
14%
4.06
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.35
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.86 — our 16% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 56%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.34/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.80
-62% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Odense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-2 HT 3-1 Odense Odense HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-2
AWAY Odense
1.21 xG 0.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
249 Passes 357
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past Kolding IF 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kolding IF had 44% of the ball to Odense's 56%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.48 — on chances, Kolding IF could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Odense?

Kolding IF 1-2 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 31%, draw 21%, Odense 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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