Municipal Limeno 1-2 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.52/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique squeezed past Municipal Limeno 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Limeno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Cacahuatique?

Municipal Limeno 1-2 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 44%, draw 30%, Cacahuatique 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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