Durban City 1-0 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Durban City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.78
+70% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Durban City
1-0
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Durban City vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durban City nicked a narrow win over Ajax Cape Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Durban City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Durban City had 48% of the ball to Ajax Cape Town's 52%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Durban City vs Ajax Cape Town?

Durban City 1-0 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Durban City vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax Cape Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Durban City 33%, draw 28%, Ajax Cape Town 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajax Cape Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax Cape Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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