Dinamo Tbilisi 3-2 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.87/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.70
+7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
12.04.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3-2
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi nicked a narrow win over Kolkheti 1913 Poti 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 65% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 35%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Dinamo Tbilisi 3-2 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 51%, draw 25%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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