Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Sep 2024

Sibenik
0-0 HT 0-0
Istra 1961
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
0.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.13
-27% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.0 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sibenik vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.79
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 396
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
24.02.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.10.2022 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
12.08.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.05.2022 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-2 HT 0-2 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
27.02.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR

Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-0
AWAY Istra 1961
0.62 xG 0.47
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
370 Passes 141
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik and Istra 1961 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sibenik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 67% of the ball to Istra 1961's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.62 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sibenik had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 0.83 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Istra 1961?

Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 42%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sibenik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sibenik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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