Fleetwood Town U21 2-1 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.63
Over 2.5
67%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.9pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.2pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.25/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/2.77
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Millwall U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
18.04.2024 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 2-3 HT 1-1 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town U21 nicked a narrow win over Millwall U21 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fleetwood Town U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town U21 vs Millwall U21?

Fleetwood Town U21 2-1 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town U21 36%, draw 24%, Millwall U21 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
27 Sep 2024
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