Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No Pick
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +16%
1.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.87
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
486 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Turan
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
04.09.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
16.04.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
18.09.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent saw off FK Turan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.75 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 53%, draw 25%, FK Turan 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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