Correcaminos UAT 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.51
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
12.01.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
29.07.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
26.03.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
31.08.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
19.01.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
08.09.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Mineros de Zacatecas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.67 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Correcaminos UAT 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 35%, draw 23%, Mineros de Zacatecas 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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