Union Comercio 0-2 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.63/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.08
+37% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.3 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
213 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
09.07.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
06.02.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
23.06.2021 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PERKB
21.07.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
24.02.2019 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
0-2
AWAY Sport Boys
0.31 xG 1.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 9
260 Passes 184
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys got the better of Union Comercio 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sport Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Comercio had 54% of the ball to Sport Boys's 46%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.31 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Comercio and 0.67 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Sport Boys?

Union Comercio 0-2 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 37%, draw 27%, Sport Boys 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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