27/09/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
29%
Draw
25%
40%
Away Win
45%
47%
Under 2.5
42%
53%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ND Slovan Ljubljana v Bistrica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ND Slovan Ljubljana
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bistrica
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
284 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bistrica beat ND Slovan Ljubljana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bistrica found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica?
ND Slovan Ljubljana 0-2 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ND Slovan Ljubljana 31%, draw 29%, Bistrica 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bistrica)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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