Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Iğdır FK v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Iğdır FK 1-2 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK edged past Iğdır FK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Iğdır FK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Iğdır FK had 43% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 57%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Iğdır FK.
What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
Iğdır FK 1-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 45%, draw 28%, Erzurumspor FK 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.