Portimonense U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Sep 2024

Portimonense U23
1-1
Sporting CP U23
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2024/2025

Portimonense U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.78
Over 2.5
57%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense U23 v Sporting CP U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+150% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +102%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
178 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Portimonense U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Sporting CP U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 41% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 59%, shots finished 2-4.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 31%, draw 22%, Sporting CP U23 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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