Kampala City 2-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.02/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kitara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.08.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 3-3 HT 2-2 Kitara Kitara UGS8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
2-0
AWAY Kitara
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City got the better of Kitara 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kampala City had 48% of the ball to Kitara's 52%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Kitara?

Kampala City 2-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 49%, draw 25%, Kitara 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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