Veres Rivne 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

Veres Rivne
1-1 HT 0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2024/2025

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.15
Away OUR CALL
61%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Shakhtar Donetsk win — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+11.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
60%
Away Win
76%
-15.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Veres Rivne v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Veres Rivne EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 80%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
0.62/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.68
-23% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 640 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Veres Rivne
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
26.09.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKRK
02.08.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.05.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
09.11.2022 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 0-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
25.09.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 HT 1-1 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR

Veres Rivne 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Veres Rivne
1-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Shakhtar Donetsk carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Veres Rivne and 2.33 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Veres Rivne 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Veres Rivne 19%, draw 20%, Shakhtar Donetsk 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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