UCV 1-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.65/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.53
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
183 Passes 237
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
24.06.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
20.05.2023 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 2-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.01 xG 0.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
224 Passes 277
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV squeezed past Rayo Zuliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 45% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 55%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.01 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UCV and 0.67 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of UCV vs Rayo Zuliano?

UCV 1-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UCV 54%, draw 22%, Rayo Zuliano 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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