Hamilton 2-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

Hamilton
2-0 HT 1-0
Stenhousemuir
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.68/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.32
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 12.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
29.07.2017 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
06.04.2004 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
10.02.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
08.11.2003 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
13.09.2003 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
05.04.2003 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
FAQ Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hamilton beat Stenhousemuir 2-0 in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamilton and 0.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir?

Hamilton 2-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 51%, draw 25%, Stenhousemuir 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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