Atletic Sant Just 3-0 Atletico Calatayud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 27 Sep 2025

Atletic Sant Just
3-0 HT 2-0
Atletico Calatayud
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Atletic Sant Just vs Atletico Calatayud Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
7%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
9%
4.35
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X EV+ ✗
21%
5.27
2/1
5%
22.55
2/2
17%
6.04
2/X
5%
15.3
Value flag · X/X at 5.27 — our 21% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.2pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletic Sant Just v Atletico Calatayud — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic Sant Just EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Calatayud EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Atletic Sant Just vs Atletico Calatayud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Sant Just cruised past Atletico Calatayud 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Atletic Sant Just made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Atletic Sant Just vs Atletico Calatayud?

Atletic Sant Just 3-0 Atletico Calatayud in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic Sant Just vs Atletico Calatayud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletic Sant Just win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletic Sant Just 37%, draw 32%, Atletico Calatayud 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletic Sant Just), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletic Sant Just) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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