Nairobi United 1-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY NEC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 NEC NEC 2-2 HT 0-1 Nairobi United Nairobi United CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi United
1-1
AWAY NEC
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nairobi United vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi United and NEC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Nairobi United had 43% of the ball to NEC's 57%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Nairobi United vs NEC?

Nairobi United 1-1 NEC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 36%, draw 32%, NEC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
27 Sep 2025
16:00 Kaizer Chiefs vs Kabuscorp Analysis →
19:00 Singida Black Stars vs Rayon Analysis →
20:00 Etoile Du Sahel vs Al Ahli Wad Medani Analysis →
20:00 ASC Snim vs Stade Tunisien Analysis →
22:00 Olympic Safi vs NIGELEC Analysis →