FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 19%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.36
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -44%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Riteriai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
19.06.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.04.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
16.04.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
29.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITK
25.08.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 59% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FA Siauliai and 0.67 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Riteriai?

FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 65%, draw 20%, FK Riteriai 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →