Ilirija 2-2 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.67
No
49%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ilirija The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje The Market 40%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.23 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.69
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.56
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
12.11.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-1 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
30.08.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-2 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
06.11.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 3-1 HT 2-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
14.05.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 3-0 HT 3-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
30.10.2021 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-2 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
REVIEW Ilirija vs Rudar Velenje
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ilirija and Rudar Velenje traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. At 1.67 (~60%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Ilirija against 1.00 for Rudar Velenje.

Ilirija vs Rudar Velenje Result & Final Score

Ilirija 2-2 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ilirija vs Rudar Velenje Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 33%, draw 27%, Rudar Velenje 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rudar Velenje), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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