Song Lam Nghe An 2-3 Ho Chi Minh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.82/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.42
-35% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Song Lam Nghe An
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
02.11.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
13.05.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
22.12.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-0 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
15.07.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
06.06.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-1 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Song Lam Nghe An
2-3
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh squeezed past Song Lam Nghe An 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ho Chi Minh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Song Lam Nghe An had 38% of the ball to Ho Chi Minh's 62%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Song Lam Nghe An had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Song Lam Nghe An and 0.50 for Ho Chi Minh.

What was the final score of Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

Song Lam Nghe An 2-3 Ho Chi Minh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Song Lam Nghe An win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Song Lam Nghe An 39%, draw 30%, Ho Chi Minh 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Song Lam Nghe An) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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