Varnsdorf 1-2 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.06/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.57
+37% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
02.08.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 2-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
22.04.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-2 HT 2-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
02.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
02.04.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
12.09.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
1-2
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Graffin Vlasim edged past Varnsdorf 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Graffin Vlasim made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 44% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.33 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Graffin Vlasim?

Varnsdorf 1-2 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 38%, draw 26%, Graffin Vlasim 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varnsdorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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