SV Horn 2-4 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

SV Horn
2-4 HT 2-1
St. Pölten
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

SV Horn vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.6
1/2
7%
21.3
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
9%
9.3
X/2
15%
4.18
X/X
10%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.19
2/X
9%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SV Horn v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.07/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.12
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

SV Horn vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
4W-0D-2L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
03.03.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
22.10.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
30.08.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AUK
04.03.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
15.08.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-3 HT 1-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2

SV Horn 2-4 St. Pölten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Horn
2-4
AWAY St. Pölten
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten got the better of SV Horn 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, SV Horn had 32% of the ball to St. Pölten's 68%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Horn had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Horn and 0.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs St. Pölten?

SV Horn 2-4 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 28%, draw 25%, St. Pölten 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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