Al Bataeh 3-4 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.37/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.85
+50% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 86%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
13.3 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 368
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
03.11.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
06.05.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
24.12.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
25.11.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
12.10.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr squeezed past Al Bataeh 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Bataeh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Bataeh and 1.33 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Al Bataeh 3-4 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 29%, draw 21%, Al Nasr 50%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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27 Oct 2024
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