Baranovichi 2-4 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 75%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.00/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.33
+87% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 4
25.11.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 2-3 HT 0-3 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
04.08.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 5-0 HT 1-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev got the better of Baranovichi 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Rogachev led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baranovichi and 4.00 for Dnepr Rogachev.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Baranovichi 2-4 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 19%, draw 20%, Dnepr Rogachev 61%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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