University Of Pretoria 3-2 Hungry Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungry Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.77/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.21
-36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hungry Lions
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 2-1 HT 0-1 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF1
26.08.2023 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions 2-0 HT 1-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
14.03.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF1
15.05.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF1
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Hungry Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria edged past Hungry Lions 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 28%) promised a tight game; University Of Pretoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hungry Lions led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for University Of Pretoria and 1.25 for Hungry Lions.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Hungry Lions?

University Of Pretoria 3-2 Hungry Lions in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Hungry Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 34%, draw 38%, Hungry Lions 28%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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