Al Salmiyah 2-1 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-31% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVFK
14.04.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
31.12.2021 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
02.11.2020 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Salmiyah
2-1
AWAY Al Yarmouk
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah nicked a narrow win over Al Yarmouk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Salmiyah as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Salmiyah had 54% of the ball to Al Yarmouk's 46%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Salmiyah and 1.25 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Yarmouk?

Al Salmiyah 2-1 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 51%, draw 27%, Al Yarmouk 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Salmiyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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