Fana 1-5 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Fana
1-5 HT 0-2
Bjarg
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
47%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.0pp
47%
Away Win
60%
-13.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fana EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fana
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bjarg
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Bjarg Bjarg 3-0 HT 0-0 Fana Fana NOR4
24.05.2023 Bjarg Bjarg 2-3 HT 1-1 Fana Fana NOK
16.10.2022 Bjarg Bjarg 2-1 HT 1-1 Fana Fana NOR4
14.04.2022 Fana Fana 2-0 HT 1-0 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
23.10.2021 Bjarg Bjarg 1-3 HT 0-1 Fana Fana NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fana
1-5
AWAY Bjarg
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fana vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg ran out comfortable winners over Fana 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Fana had 38% of the ball to Bjarg's 62%, shots finished 5-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fana had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Fana and 1.60 for Bjarg.

What was the final score of Fana vs Bjarg?

Fana 1-5 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fana vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fana 28%, draw 25%, Bjarg 47%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
27 Oct 2024
00:00 Molde II vs Aalesund II Analysis →
14:00 Kongsvinger II vs Fyllingsdalen Analysis →
14:00 Fredrikstad II vs Elverum Analysis →
14:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Sprint Jelöy Analysis →
14:00 Forde vs Froya Analysis →
14:00 Ardal vs Sandviken Analysis →